by: Winder Liao
Why becomes a soccer bettor one may ask? Where it is considered a negative occupation where it is often regarded as non productive, immoral behaviour. Well as for every other thing everything there is the pros n cons. If you able to use it to your advantage it could be becomes your full-time occupation or a second income. Morever, soccer betting is a big thriving business where it is prevalent throughout the worldBy the use of statistics, experience and practice, an astute gambler can consistently beat the posted odds . However to do so one must behave in a manner consistent with success. One thing a successful bettor must do is to continually learn.
Handicapping
There is no single method that is considers the best method, everyones tackles the soccer problem differently,one thing for sure is the harder one works intelligently and practically and the more experience he has the more positive results he will realised.
Objective approach
The use of statistic to help the bettor to determine his picks. It should be noted that statistic are fundemental but its how they are used that makes the difference between winning and losing. However if everyone comes to the same conclusions the oddsmaker could still eliminate any advantages by adjusting the line to keep everyone guessing. Either way it is to the bookies advantage.
Subjective approach
After yrs of handicapping the sub-conscious mind help the bettor to finalise his picks. When he starts to win the bettor will get carried away however if his results turns negative his emotions and his mind will short virtually making the bettor ineffective. It is extremely important the bettor at this time knows to hold back and observe for his form to pick up before betting again.
Trends
It should be noted that the best trends are those that are unique, valid and relatively unknown. Any seasoned soccer bettor knows that once the trend becomes too popular the linesmen will adjust the line to leave people lost. When using trends you should notice whether it is getting stronger and weaker?
Bankroll mangement
Definition-the amount of money you set aside for betting and not hose for paying bills, groceries or money even when lost would not cause much unbalance in the bettors life.
How much to bet per game?
I would suggest 5% of your bankroll to be used for betting and not to bet more than 3 matches per day, reason because its very difficult to pick winners for every match and the most likely results are you will have a few winners and a few losers resulting in minimal bankroll growth which is the most likely results or worse lose all the bets which is highly possible. Another very important reason for this is you are able to gauage more accurately how much you will lose should you indeed lose.
Summary
To begin with, one must understands what he is up against, there is no method or systems that could contiunues to win every game , everyday, every week , month or year. Good consistent handicapping means selecting more winners than losers. In order to be a successful bettor one must give lots of thoughts to why is the results this way ?and is there any reason behind it. When you manage to reveal the meaning behind it it is the time you feed back on the fat cow (bookmaker).
Soccer forum
I have seen a great prevalence use of soccer forums where soccer bettors post their picks. It is often noted that a lot of beginners try to note down those tipsters who is in hot form meaning those posting the corrects picks and then bet big following them . I strongly discourage people from doing so cause they were betting their hard earn money on people whom they never even meet or know and blindly follows theirs picks. This is very unhealthy why? cause the bettors himself have failed to come out with his own picks ,where he could be learning from his own mistakes and who knows those that are in the forum might be bookies themselves posting picks to lure the ignorant ones to be hooked.
Getting prepared mentally
One should be prepared mentally for losing and winnings cause either way it would lead to what I call a gambling syndrome. When the bettors keeps winnings he will be feeling over the moon during his hot streats and starts spending money like he is a king overnite however once he starts hitting the rough patch he will be losing sleeps if he bet a very substantial amount or can't concentrate in his work. This is very unhealthy and how to curb this problem?By following a systematic money-management programs.
Is it possible to strike rich in a very short period say 1 month?
It is possible for a soccer bettor to strike rich but that is provided he is extremely lucky during that month and makes more than 60% corrects picks and of those correct picks are those he bets bigs and the remainder 40% lossess are those he bets small. However one knows that what goes up must come down and the winners are those who are able to tide over the rough patch and then starts winning back when his form is back
Is it important to know all about the soccer team , soccer players statistic n does that makes me a better soccer better?
The answer is no cause soccer betting arena is a place where the booksmakers earns their money if by knowing every details could make you rich then all the soccer writers, soccer magazines editors are the ones who are driving big cars and living in big houses.
What makes a true soccer bettor an expert?
The ability to convert a given bankroll into profits based on practical bankroll management program and against some standard of odds and over a large number of games and over a period of time.
How to become a true soccer expert?
- He should keep a record of all that days opening odds and closing odds.
- print out the each respective wide table.
- Write down the score
- reason why the results to be this way and is there any trends. Of course in order to look for particular trends you need soccer records.
- keep meticulous and honest records of his play decisions and their results. This will teach him his strength and weakness.
- learn how to bet on his own handicapping in order to realize the greatest profit. He then must discipline his action and play in respect of this plan in order to get the best results.
- learn how to tackle his emotions as well as personal problems out of his decisions. If this becomes too difficult he should stop playing.
- be constantly on the alert to make changes to his handicapping methods and techniques.
- set up a plan of action for bankroll management and stick diligently to it.
Does soccer betting involves luck?
Answer: no, cause soccer results is preplanned meaning before the matches starts the results is already out. If you have been betting soccer for a period of time and keeping soccer records deligiently you would have discovered a trend and realized that its a cycle.
So which leagues are you gd in?
for each people they they dwell in different leagues for me I specialize in only 4 leagues namely EPL, Italy serieA , Spanish primera and german bundesliga.
How to tackle soccer cups and normal weekend domestic league?
There are lots of soccer matches throughout the soccer season and the techniques involves in dealing with different matches differs differently and at different timing of the season.
Does the bookmaker lose money?
ANS : yes there are times but seldom. Bookmakers lose money then the strong team win throughout the tournamnet eg euro2000 but that is short-term loss. They will continues to win the soccer punters money as long as there are soccer matches. Why? Cause there will be different opionions from different soccer punters just the vigourish/water money alone is able to cover their losses and that is excluding fixed match where they win even more. Another useful tool they are armed with is they understands that all gamblers have a common weakness. They bet bigger and bigger when winning and bets even bigger to chase their loss when losing. In either case it is to the bookmakers edge.
Contary to the belief of many where they think they are winning the bookmakers money , it is the other soccer punters ie, their friend's money whom they are winning. The only way to bust the bookmaker/bookies is not to bet or share part of the pie the bookmaker is having.
Soccer cups
There are namely a few more popular ones are uefa cup, uefa champions league, league cup, fa cup, worthington cup, international friendlies, Italian cup, Spanish cup.
Why is it important to do a form analysis on oneself?
It is because people when they are in a winning streats they tend to win more frequent cause I find that it got to do with ones confidence level. They becomes not afraid to lose and I believes that if one believe in himself strongly he will perform much better than one who is afraid of losing.
Betting strategy
Overview- When you do keep records you could trace your own form and make adjustment from there.
Flat betting strategy
This is the strategy I use when I am determining which way my form is going. Up or down. Another reason to test out new leagues where I'm unfamiliar. PROS - this strategy would produce a even amt of risk for money wagered but however if you are able to pick on the right team you could earn a average profit, CONS -but due to the water money and the increase in the no. Of bets before you could see a tidy handsome profit this will constitue to be the downside.
Progressive betting strategy
I adopt the progressive betting strategy method which is to multiply my previous winnings by 0.5 and use it for the next bet which is the strategy I adopt when my form are good. Ie when 3 or more wins consecutively. Reason why? There is a Chinese saying "hit the iron while its hot" which I find it to be very true cause there are many opportunities in soccerbetting where if you are able to recognize it and bet bigger than usual, PROS- there is a potential higher return rate then if you flat bet. CONS- when you do adjust your bet amt you are relatively exposing yourself to more risk this is the tradeoff where you could lose potentially more.
Reduced betting strategy
When do you adopt this is when you have been picking the wrong team all the time example say 3 straight lose which is very common caused I realized that this is the time where people starts to bet big to chase their loss. This is very wrong caused when one is down on luck or the bookmaker has adjusted the line to confuse the bettor they should stay calm n reduced their bets or not bet at all. PROS- reduced money lost and try to minimize serious damage to original bankroll. CONS- if the picks do win you could not cover back your previous loss due to reduction in wager. This is the trade-off.
Why is it important to find the right time frame before u bet and does it make a difference?
It is important because if now you are in a losing streats it is best to control oneself before you jump into it and wack hard to chase back your lossess most likely you will lose. It is best to make own prediction first and see if your form is back if it is slowly getting back now is time to jump in cause once you run out of bullets during your losing streats it is very difficult to fight back.
Best regards
Winder, Winder sports
http://www.geocities.com/winder21/winderexpertsoccerpicks.htm winder expert picks -Asian handicap specialist to european soccer fixtures.
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